Predicting Automotive Futures
The art and science of disruptive game-changing the future of automotive.
The past, like the future, is indefinite and exists only as a spectrum of possibilities.
– Stephen Hawking
One of my many resolutions recently was to spend a lot of my time dreaming big. Therefore, along the way, I plan on sharing everything I know about automotive technology forecasting and disrupting the future of smart cities, to help willing followers take a step closer to their own promised mobility land.
Over the last 20 years, I have disrupted the present by predicting the automotive future with eerie accuracy, with my resolution of ‘dream big or go home’ I have decided to also create a brighter mobility future. While some people are better at predictions than others, about 2% are part of the disruptive elite. After 2 decades of proven results forecasting automotive technologies and supply chains, without a doubt, my curriculum vitae defines me as a part of that exclusive group with VIP status.
To be part of the disruptive game-changing elite that accurately predicts the automotive future you need to be:
- Cautious – nothing is certain in the automotive world
- Humble – the reality of mobility is infinitely complex
- Nondeterministic – what happens is not meant to be and does not have to happen for smart cities
- Actively open-minded – past automotive beliefs are a hypothesis to be tested, not mobility future treasures to be protected
- Intelligent – automotive knowledgeable with a need for cognition and intellectually curious for mobility
- Reflective – automotive introspective and mobility self-critical
- Numerate – comfortable with negative forecast numbers
- Pragmatic – not wedded to any automotive idea or agenda
- Analytical – capable of stepping back from the tip of your nose perspective and considering other automotive views
- Insightful – value diverse automotive views and synthesize them into your own
- Probabilistic – judge using many grades of automotive maybe
- Thoughtful updater – when automotive facts change, change your mobility mind
- Good intuitive psychologist – aware of the value of checking your thinking for automotive biases
- A growth mindset – Believe it is possible to get better smart cities
- Grit – Determined to keep at it however long it takes to improve the automotive industry
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